power output
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Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Early Anomaly Detection and Performance Prediction via PV System Monitoring Data
Mukherjee, Srijani, Vuillon, Laurent, Nassif, Liliane Bou, Giroux-Julien, Stéphanie, Pabiou, Hervé, Dutykh, Denys, Tsanakas, Ionnasis
Effective performance prediction and timely anoma ly detection are paramount to ensuring the long - te rm efficiency, reliability, and economic viability of these systems. Traditional monitoring methods, often based on simple thresho lds or statistical rules, frequently fail to account for the complex interplay of environmental and operational variables that affect PV performance. These methods may lead to high rates of false positives or, more critically, miss subtle but significant a nomalies that can indicate underlying system faults. To overcome these limitations, advanced data - drive n approaches are essential. Machine learning and deep learning models have shown promise in this field, offering the ability to learn complex, non - linear relationships from vast datasets.
- Europe > France > Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes > Lyon > Lyon (0.05)
- Europe > France > Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes > Isère > Grenoble (0.04)
- Asia > Middle East > UAE > Abu Dhabi Emirate > Abu Dhabi (0.04)
SolarBoost: Distributed Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Amid Time-varying Grid Capacity
Geng, Linyuan, Yang, Linxiao, Gu, Xinyue, Sun, Liang
This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to uniformity, it is difficult to apply such techniques to DPV systems, as DPVs face challenges such as missing grid-level data, temporal shifts in installed capacity, geographic variability, and panel diversity. SolarBoost overcomes these challenges by modeling aggregated power output as a composite of output from small grids, where each grid output is modeled using a unit output function multiplied by its capacity. This approach decouples the homogeneous unit output function from dynamic capacity for accurate prediction. Efficient algorithms over an upper-bound approximation are proposed to overcome computational bottlenecks in loss functions. We demonstrate the superiority of grid-level modeling via theoretical analysis and experiments. SolarBoost has been validated through deployment across various cities in China, significantly reducing potential losses and provides valuable insights for the operation of power grids. The code for this work is available at https://github.com/DAMO-DI-ML/SolarBoost.
- Asia > China > Zhejiang Province > Hangzhou (0.04)
- North America > United States > California (0.04)
- North America > United States > New York > New York County > New York City (0.04)
From sea to space, this robot is on a roll
While working at NASA in 2003, Dr. Robert Ambrose, director of the Robotics and Automation Design Lab (RAD Lab), designed a robot with no fixed top or bottom. A perfect sphere, the RoboBall could not flip over, and its shape promised access to places wheeled or legged machines could not reach -- from the deepest lunar crater to the uneven sands of a beach. Two of his students built the first prototype, but then Ambrose shelved the idea to focus on drivable rovers for astronauts. When Ambrose arrived at Texas A&M University in 2021, he saw a chance to reignite his idea. With funding from the Chancellor's Research Initiative and Governor's University Research Initiative, Ambrose brought RoboBall back to life.
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- Europe > North Sea (0.04)
- Atlantic Ocean > North Atlantic Ocean > North Sea (0.04)
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- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Agents (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Reinforcement Learning (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Undirected Networks > Markov Models (0.46)
Multi-task neural diffusion processes for uncertainty-quantified wind power prediction
Rawson, Joseph, Ladopoulou, Domniki, Dellaportas, Petros
Uncertainty-aware wind power prediction is essential for grid integration and reliable wind farm operation. We apply neural diffusion processes (NDPs)--a recent class of models that learn distributions over functions--and extend them to a multi-task NDP (MT-NDP) framework for wind power prediction. We provide the first empirical evaluation of NDPs in real supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data. We introduce a task encoder within MT-NDPs to capture cross-turbine correlations and enable few-shot adaptation to unseen turbines. The proposed MT-NDP framework outperforms single-task NDPs and GPs in terms of point accuracy and calibration, particularly for wind turbines whose behaviour deviates from the fleet average. In general, NDP-based models deliver calibrated and scalable predictions suitable for operational deployment, offering sharper, yet trustworthy, predictive intervals that can support dispatch and maintenance decisions in modern wind farms. Introduction Wind energy has become a cornerstone of the global transition to clean power. As wind power capacity expands worldwide, ensuring reliability and minimising downtime are critical to both energy security and the financial viability of wind farms. Beyond energy balancing, uncertainty-aware forecasting also reduces operational uncertainty for wind farm operators, enabling more efficient maintenance scheduling and reducing costly unplanned downtime. This is especially important given that operation and maintenance costs represent a significant share of total expenditure, with unexpected failures making up the largest component [1, 2]. Supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems provide a low-cost and widely available source of wind turbine data. They capture environmental and operational variables with high frequency, making them invaluable for prediction applications. However, their use is complicated by measurement noise, turbine downtime, and limited public availability [3, 4].
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- South America > Uruguay > Maldonado > Maldonado (0.04)
- North America > United States > Massachusetts > Middlesex County > Cambridge (0.04)
- Europe > Greece (0.04)
Integrated Forecasting of Marine Renewable Power: An Adaptively Bayesian-Optimized MVMD-LSTM Framework for Wind-Solar-Wave Energy
Xie, Baoyi, Shi, Shuiling, Liu, Wenqi
Integrated wind-solar-wave marine energy systems hold broad promise for supplying clean electricity in offshore and coastal regions. By leveraging the spatiotemporal complementarity of multiple resources, such systems can effectively mitigate the intermittency and volatility of single-source outputs, thereby substantially improving overall power-generation efficiency and resource utilization. Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting is crucial for ensuring secure operation and optimizing proactive dispatch. However, most existing forecasting methods construct separate models for each energy source, insufficiently account for the complex couplings among multiple energies, struggle to capture the system's nonlinear and nonstationary dynamics, and typically depend on extensive manual parameter tuning-limitations that constrain both predictive performance and practicality. We address this issue using a Bayesian-optimized Multivariate Variational Mode Decomposition-Long Short-Term Memory (MVMD-LSTM) framework. The framework first applies MVMD to jointly decompose wind, solar and wave power series so as to preserve cross-source couplings; it uses Bayesian optimization to automatically search the number of modes and the penalty parameter in the MVMD process to obtain intrinsic mode functions (IMFs); finally, an LSTM models the resulting IMFs to achieve ultra-short-term power forecasting for the integrated system. Experiments based on field measurements from an offshore integrated energy platform in China show that the proposed framework significantly outperforms benchmark models in terms of MAPE, RMSE and MAE. The results demonstrate superior predictive accuracy, robustness, and degree of automation.
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- Asia > China > Yunnan Province > Kunming (0.05)
- Asia > China > Guangdong Province > Zhuhai (0.04)
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EVs Have Gotten Too Powerful
When an entry-level Volvo can get to 60 mph quicker than a Porsche 911, and in the same time as a Ferrari, electric car makers need a reset. It's difficult to imagine it happening now, but cars have in the past seriously triggered politicians. Australia's predilection for big, bluff muscle sedans prompted the so-called " supercar scare " in the early '70s, when various state ministers of transport united in calling for a nationwide ban on what one called "bullets on wheels." Fast forward 20 years and the UK's House of Commons found itself debating the Lotus Carlton, in very many ways the successor to those Antipodean bruisers. An outrageous reimagining of a competent but far from stellar Opel/Vauxhall sedan (it was badged the latter in the UK), the Daily Mail decided the nation's moral well-being was imperiled by its very existence.
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How to craft a deep reinforcement learning policy for wind farm flow control
Kadoche, Elie, Bianchi, Pascal, Carton, Florence, Ciblat, Philippe, Ernst, Damien
Within wind farms, wake effects between turbines can significantly reduce overall energy production. Wind farm flow control encompasses methods designed to mitigate these effects through coordinated turbine control. Wake steering, for example, consists in intentionally misaligning certain turbines with the wind to optimize airflow and increase power output. However, designing a robust wake steering controller remains challenging, and existing machine learning approaches are limited to quasi-static wind conditions or small wind farms. This work presents a new deep reinforcement learning methodology to develop a wake steering policy that overcomes these limitations. Our approach introduces a novel architecture that combines graph attention networks and multi-head self-attention blocks, alongside a novel reward function and training strategy. The resulting model computes the yaw angles of each turbine, optimizing energy production in time-varying wind conditions. An empirical study conducted on steady-state, low-fidelity simulation, shows that our model requires approximately 10 times fewer training steps than a fully connected neural network and achieves more robust performance compared to a strong optimization baseline, increasing energy production by up to 14 %. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first deep reinforcement learning-based wake steering controller to generalize effectively across any time-varying wind conditions in a low-fidelity, steady-state numerical simulation setting.
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- North America > Puerto Rico > San Juan > San Juan (0.04)
- Europe > Belgium > Wallonia > Liège Province > Liège (0.04)
Autonomous Control Leveraging LLMs: An Agentic Framework for Next-Generation Industrial Automation
Vyas, Javal, Mercangoz, Mehmet
The increasing complexity of modern chemical processes, coupled with workforce shortages and intricate fault scenarios, demands novel automation paradigms that blend symbolic reasoning with adaptive control. In this work, we introduce a unified agentic framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for both discrete fault-recovery planning and continuous process control within a single architecture. We adopt Finite State Machines (FSMs) as interpretable operating envelopes: an LLM-driven planning agent proposes recovery sequences through the FSM, a Simulation Agent executes and checks each transition, and a Validator-Reprompting loop iteratively refines invalid plans. In Case Study 1, across 180 randomly generated FSMs of varying sizes (4-25 states, 4-300 transitions), GPT-4o and GPT-4o-mini achieve 100% valid-path success within five reprompts-outperforming open-source LLMs in both accuracy and latency. In Case Study 2, the same framework modulates dual-heater inputs on a laboratory TCLab platform (and its digital twin) to maintain a target average temperature under persistent asymmetric disturbances. Compared to classical PID control, our LLM-based controller attains similar performance, while ablation of the prompting loop reveals its critical role in handling nonlinear dynamics. We analyze key failure modes-such as instruction following lapses and coarse ODE approximations. Our results demonstrate that, with structured feedback and modular agents, LLMs can unify high-level symbolic planningand low-level continuous control, paving the way towards resilient, language-driven automation in chemical engineering.
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